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Here is a list of the times when presidential candidates became likely nominees

NPR: https://www.npr.org/2024/01/24/1226520291/when-presidential-candidates-became-presumptive-nominees

Nikki Haley’s Tea Party Campaign in New Hampshire During the Second Session of November 17 & 19: The Road to the Republican Nomination

New Hampshire has large numbers of independent and college educated voters, so it was the best place for Haley to derail the nomination of Donald Trump.

Earlier on Tuesday, Haley’s campaign in a memo laid out a hypothetical path into March, saying that she could compete in a wider variety of states, including the 16 states that vote on March 5, also known as Super Tuesday.

There was a time, before the Iowa caucuses, when one could imagine Haley coming in a strong second in Iowa, then winning New Hampshire and taking that momentum into her home state of South Carolina.

“You’ve all heard the chatter among the political class,” Haley said. They’re saying that this race is over. I have good news for all of them. This race is far from over. There are many states left to go.

Despite her loss in New Hampshire, Nikki Haley is insisting that she is staying in the race and going on to her home state of South Carolina and the slate of states on Super Tuesday, March 5.

In New Hampshire, he withstood an aggressive challenge from his former United Nations ambassador, Nikki Haley, who is the final major Republican candidate standing in Trump’s way after other hopefuls dropped out.

She seemed to be in a good spot in New Hampshire. Independent voters, known as “undeclared” in the state, could participate in the Republican primary, giving her a boost. In the small state, Haley and her allied groups spent more than $30 million on tv ads, doubling their pro-Trump spending. She also had the endorsement of the state’s popular Republican governor, Chris Sununu, who campaigned for her tirelessly.

MANCHESTER, N.H. — Former President Donald Trump has won the New Hampshire primary, according to The Associated Press, a victory that puts him on a clear path to securing the Republican nomination.

How Early Can a Candidate Wrap Up the Nomine? An Arkansas gov. Hutchinson Revisited

Even Haley supporters recognize though that it’s an “uphill climb,” as former Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson, a former candidate for this very nomination who dropped out after Iowa, said during NPR live coverage of the primary.

South Carolina will take place a month from now, Feb. 24, after Nevada, which has a caucus on Feb. 8. Does she stay in for a month to South Carolina? Will she have the money?

If Haley does decide to suspend her campaign by Feb. 17, it would be the earliest any candidate — who wasn’t an incumbent president — in the last 40 years would have wrapped up the nomination by virtue of their top opponent exiting.

Primaries were not really fought for delegates in a sweeping way until the 1980s, and even then, the process wasn’t as formalized as it is now. Looking at the dates for when a candidate wrapped up the nomination, going back to 1988, the earliest anyone did so was Feb. 18.

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