Climate Change and Tornadoes – How Did the Gulf of Mexico Survive During the January 2023 Outburst?

But unlike heat waves, floods and hurricanes, scientific research about the connection between the climate crisis and tornadoes has not been as easy to make; though climate researchers say uncertainty doesn’t mean it is unlikely, and experts are already seeing changes in how recent tornado outbreaks are behaving.

The World Weather Attribution, a group of the world’s leading scientists that establishes the link between climate and weather, for instance, previously concluded that climate change played little to no role in intensifying the flooding that killed 138 people in Vietnam in 2020.

He said to think of a pair of dice. You can change the value of one die to make it seem like it has two sixes and increase the chance of rolling the dice. Although you cannot immediately attribute that value to the change you made, you changed the likelihood of that event occurring.

Gensini said that the climate system is similar to how it works now, because humans pump greenhouse gases into the atmosphere and change the system, which will amplify extreme weather events.

It is concerning if you consider we are still several months away from the peak of tornado season. There is no way to figure out if a busy winter means a busy spring.

This article was originally published in the CNN Weather Brief, which is released every Monday. You can sign up here to receive them every week and during significant storms.

January 2023 will be remembered more for its tornadoes and severe weather than for more traditional winter weather like snow and ice for everyone east of the Rockies. January is not usually a bad month, but this year was a big one.

The number will go down once all the reports have been analyzed, but it is still shocking given that January has an average number of 50 tornadoes.

“Most winters you have these repetitive cold fronts that come through, and they scour out the low-level moisture, which is really important for thunderstorm development,” explained Matt Elliott, warning coordination meteorologist at the storm center.

During the month of January, the South and Southeast were five to 10 degrees above normal due to the warm weather, which caused the Gulf to bring instability and ripe conditions for tornado development.

The month of January was Houston’s second-warmest on record and was the scene of nearly 20 tornado reports in a single week.

What Happens When the Grounds Get Closer, and How Does It Get There? A Comment on Elliott’s Spectroscopy

I wish we could say how the spring would develop. Unfortunately, we just can’t,” Elliott pointed out. Sometimes a busy, cool season is followed by a quiet spring season, but other times it’s vice versa.

Summer might be coming a bit earlier, and winter might be coming a bit later. They are competing with each other. “So, the numbers overall might be similar, but there may be some subtle changes in the seasonality and locations that we’re certainly looking at very closely.”